New York has 95 delegates and is awarded by congressional district and with some delegates awarded proportionally (with a 50% trigger to get all the 14 at-large delegates).
New York Polling with Arizona Results
1. Donald Trump
92 Delegates (14 winner take all , 78 from 26 congressional districts)
0.650 +/- 0.0166
Donald Trump should do very well in his home state. I think he should win most of the districts. He will get over 50% and capture all the at-large delegates. It looks like Trump should get the nomination on the first ballot. But it depends on what the GOP rules committee decides on the the nomination rules. If Trump is a single delegate short of a majority then anything could happen.
2. Ted Cruz
3 Delegates (1 congressional district)
0.179 +/- 0.0133
Cruz may be able to pick up a district in a more conservative area like upstate New York but Trump should win the rest of the delegates. Cruz and Kasich are working to basically play defense and work on trying for a brokered convention.
3. John Kasich
0 Delegates
0.171 +/- 0.0131
Kasich's goal is play defense in proportional delegates. I think his presence is more beneficial to the anti-Trump campaign. Kasich will not be the nominee even if the convention goes brokered. Kasich at this point is probably hoping for VP or a high level position in the cabinet.
Note: I had trouble submitting it.
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