If I learned one thing from this election it would be to
expect the unexpected. Last friday, the wikileaks dump and "Trump Tape" generated a lot of buzz on the histories of both candidates. The recent exodus
of certain republican leaders from endorsing Trump is creating buzz on write
in and 3rd party
candidates. An interesting poll from
Utah emerged with 26-26 tie with Trump and Clinton , with 23% going to an independent
candidate, Evan Mcmullin, and 22% undecided.
FiveThirtyEight posted an article here: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-evan-mcmullin-could-win-utah-and-the-presidency/
about an unlikely but possible chance of an Evan Mcmullin becoming president. I
don’t know what will happen with Johnson because there aren’t a lot of polls
yet post the 2nd debate. Because
of the volatile nature of the polls in Utah and Arizona, in the past few
states, I am going to reclassify them as “swing states” so I can track them better.
It is very possible Trump may still win in Utah and Arizona but things could change
in the next couple of weeks. Arizona
hasn’t had a post debate poll but we should see one come out early next
week. On Sunday or Monday I will post an
update on the Swing states, which now includes Arizona and Utah.
Update on my schedule/plan for my projection. My final election
call will be separated into three posts: Red States(11/4), Blue States(11/4),
and Swing States(11/5).
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